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2024年十大科技和應用趨勢

新的一年來臨,騰訊研究院邀請一眾知名科學家、工程師、學者和其他專家對2024年科技發展趨勢作出預測。綜合所得,預計人工智能(AI)將跨行業、跨場景地驅動突破性創新,從智能電網到電動垂直升降(eVTOL)飛機,再到星地直連通訊和輔助機械人。

一起看看這些科技趨勢將如何改變我們的日常生活吧。

10. Smart energy grids turn EVs and homes into power plants

There’s a change taking place in how energy is being created and used. Households, once consumers of power, are increasingly starting to generate and store it too. Smart energy grids can regulate the charging of EVs, for example, to off-peak periods, and feed excess solar electricity back into the network during peak times, enabling more sustainable energy use across society.  

9. Electric vertical take-off and landing (eVTOL) vehicles leave rush-hour traffic in the dust

Flying cars were once the domain of sci-fi movies. No longer. Prototypes can now take off and land vertically, without the need for a runway. These electric-powered VTOLs will transform the way we commute and travel. Not only will they help ease congestion, but they’ll also take us to more places quickly as battery life improves. 

8. Affordable satellite phones keep you connected in the Peruvian Andes or on Mount Kinabalu

The singular frustration of “no service” on our mobile phones will soon be a thing of the past. As the cost of launching satellites falls and the capabilities of smartphones advance, more people will be able to stay connected through powerful satellite communication networks with ease, whether in the middle of the Pacific Ocean or on one of the world’s highest peaks.

7. Multimedia tech makes virtual meetings feel IRL

Video calls have become the norm, but many of us still enjoy meeting in person. State of the art immersive communications software can bridge the gap. AR, VR, MR and innovations such as naked-eye 3D can re-create us in such incredible detail that virtual calls and meetings will feel like the conference room down the hall.

6. Brain-computer interfaces (BCI) let you shop or do banking with your mind

The exploration of brain-computer interfaces (BCI) has mostly been driven by the medical field. By sending electronic signals, BCI can help people who are paralyzed to walk again. And the technology has the potential for wider practical applications. Simply by thinking of an action or using eye movements, we will be able to do daily tasks such as shopping or banking. 

5. Game engine tech launches you into outer space or on a trek with a T-Rex

Cutting-edge game technology has many real-world uses, from flight simulator training to reinforcement learning used to train AI. Next, immersive game engine and digital twin tech will become part of the classroom of the future, where interactive, life-like scenarios can be re-created. From walking with dinosaurs to exploring the surface of Mars, education is about to become a lot more fun.

4. AI meets gene editing to efficiently grow crops and better feed the world

10. 智能電網將電動車和家居變成「充電寶」

未來發電和用電模式將發生變化。一直以來,家居都是用電單位,而現在,家居逐漸能夠產生並儲存電能。智能電網可以調配電動車的充電模式,例如用電低峰充電省錢,然後在用電高峰將多餘的光伏電力輸送回電網,促進整個社會實現更加可持續的用電方式。 

9. 電動垂直升降飛機緩解交通擠塞

飛行汽車以前只在科幻電影裏才能看到。如今,它們已經走進現實。eVTOL原型機現在可以在無需跑道的情況下垂直升降。這些電動飛行器將改變我們的出行方式。它們不僅可以緩解交通擠塞,而且隨著電池續航技術的進步,它們還能夠將我們更快送達目的地。

8. 哪怕身處安第斯山脈或京那巴魯山,經濟實惠的衛星直連手機也能讓你訊號滿格

手機「無訊號」會讓我們百感交集,而這一問題有望一舉解決。受惠於衛星發射成本一再降低和智能手機不斷進化,更多人可以通過強大的衛星通話手機與他人保持聯繫,哪怕你身處太平洋中心或世界最高的山峰。

7. 沉浸式多媒體技術讓虛擬會議如臨其境

如今視像通話已經成為一種常態,但許多人依然喜歡面對面溝通。沉浸式溝通軟件將彌合這兩者之間的差距。借助AR、VR、MR以及裸眼3D等創新技術,我們可以在虛擬世界中逼真還原各種細節,在虛擬通話和會議中實現全息旅程。

6. 腦機介面(BCI)讓你通過意念購物或辦理銀行事務

腦機介面(BCI)主要用於醫療領域。BCI通過發送電子信號,幫助癱瘓患者恢復自主行走能力。這一技術有望用於更廣泛的現實場景中。未來你可能只需在腦海中想象某個動作,或是轉動一下眼球,就可以購物或辦理銀行事務。 

5. 沉浸式遊戲引擎技術讓你「上天下海」

尖端的遊戲技術在現實世界中也有很多用途,如全動飛行模擬機視景系統,或是使用增強學習來訓練AI。下一步,沉浸式遊戲引擎和數碼孿生技術將進入課堂,為學生提供富互動性、栩栩如生的場景。學生可以與恐龍一起散步,又或是探索火星表面,學習過程將變得充滿樂趣。

4. 利用AI與基因編輯技術高效培育農作物,滿足全球人口的糧食需求

預計到2025年,全球糧食產量需要比2018年增加60%,才能養活不斷增長的人口。農業是水資源和能源的消耗大戶,而精細調控的基因編輯技術可以發揮作用,培育優良品種,提高農作物的營養價值和產量,同時改善其耐旱和抗病能力。 

3. 智能敏捷的機械人成為家庭、工作場所或護理機構的得力助手

機械人變得越來越智能,越來越靈巧,因此可以勝任不同環境中的各種任務。機械人在手、腦方面取得了巨大的進步,使之能夠完成精細而準確的動作。試想一下,它們可以彈結他、煮飯、打掃衛生,甚至還可以協助醫生做手術。

2. 通過AI助手完成複雜任務,節省時間

人們時常感到一天24小時根本不夠用:不僅要發送郵件、處理財務事項,還要網購生活用品。幸運的是,定制化AI助手即將成為現實。隨著通用人工智能(AGI)技術的進步,個人AI助手能夠幫助你完成或簡或繁的任務,留給你更多時間專注享受生活。

1. 可持續高性能計算加速科學、醫療和金融領域創新

高效能運算﹝HPC﹞已經能夠以令人難以置信的速度處理訊息。而雲端運算、量子運算和晶片性能的結合以及更高的能效預示著新一代可持續高效能運算即將問世。這些超級電腦的速度遠遠超乎我們的想象,助力人類在科學、醫學和金融等領域更快取得突破。